dimanche 1 mai 2016

USA: élections, si Trump gagne dans l'Indiana, la primaire républicaine sera pliée

F01051621:00 - "Le nouveau sondage, publié dimanche, montre que M. Trump obtient 49 pour cent des votes contre 34 pour cent pour M. Cruz. Or M. Trump a déclaré a "Fox News du dimanche" que s'il gagne dans l'Indiana, la course républicaine sera effectivement terminée" rapporte The New York Times citant le dernier sondage NBC News / Wall Street Journal / Marist. 

De nombreux commentateurs constatent que la situation évolue très vite du côté républicain dans le sens d'un alignement derrière Trump pour sauver l'unité du GOP afin de protéger les intérêts du parti, c'est à dire sa position dominante au Congrès US.
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Needing to Win, Ted Cruz Trails Donald Trump in Indiana by 15 Points, Poll Finds 
Jonathan Martin pour The New York Times, le 1er Mai 2016

Titre et inter-titres E Gaillot pour €calypse News, le 1er Mai 2016


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Donald J. Trump devance le sénateur Ted Cruz du Texas par deux chiffres dans l'Indiana, selon un nouveau sondage NBC Nouvelles / Wall Street Journal / Marist, un signe inquiétant pour M. Cruz pour qui cette primaire est cruciale
Donald J. Trump is leading Senator Ted Cruz of Texas by double digits in Indiana, according to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll, an ominous sign for Mr. Cruz going into the crucial primary there on Tuesday.
Une perte dans l'Indiana représenterait un coup presque fatal pour la campagne de M. Cruz et augmenterait considérablement la pression pour qu'il se retire de la course
A loss in Indiana would represent a near-fatal blow to Mr. Cruz’s campaign and would significantly increase pressure on him to withdraw from the race.
Le nouveau sondage, publié dimanche, montre que M. Trump obtient 49 pour cent des votes contre 34 pour cent pour M. Cruz. Le gouverneur de l'Ohio John Kasich, qui n'a pas fait campagne dans l'état d'un commun accord avec M. Cruz, obtient 13 pour cent.
The new poll, released Sunday, shows Mr. Trump taking 49 percent of the vote to 34 percent for Mr. Cruz. Gov. John Kasich of Ohio, who has not been campaigning in the state by agreement with Mr. Cruz, receives 13 percent.
Si M. Trump remporte l'Indiana, il sera beaucoup mieux placé pour remporter l'investiture républicaine, le 7 Juin, le dernier jour des primaires.
If Mr. Trump carries Indiana, which awards its 57 delegates to the statewide winner and to the winner of each congressional district, he will be far better positioned to clinch the Republican nomination on June 7, the last day of primary contests.

Mr. Cruz has mounted an all-out fight in Indiana — convincing Mr. Kasich to withdraw from competing there, naming Carly Fiorina as his would-be running mate at a rally in Indianapolis and criss-crossing the state.

But on Saturday he gave up a full day of Indiana politicking to appear at California’s state Republican convention with Ms. Fiorina. There, he declared that “California is going to decide this Republican primary.”

Candidates wooing local party activists often make such pronouncements, but Mr. Cruz’s trouble in Indiana — which is also reflected in private polls conducted by his campaign, according to Republicans briefed on those surveys — suggests that the remark may represent something more significant: a new rationale to remain in the race after Indiana.

Mr. Cruz’s polls show he is not trailing Mr. Trump in Indiana as badly as he was right after dropping five more states late last month, but his supporters are increasingly skeptical about their prospects in Indiana.
M. Trump a déclaré a "Fox News du dimanche" que s'il gagne dans l'Indiana, la course républicaine sera effectivement terminée
Mr. Trump said on “Fox News Sunday” that if he wins in Indiana, the Republican race will be effectively over.

“Cruz cannot win, he’s got no highway, he’s got nothing, he’s way behind,’’ Mr. Trump said.

For his part, Mr. Cruz was asked nine times by Chuck Todd on NBC’s “Meet the Press” if he would support Mr. Trump as the nominee. The Texas senator filibustered, offering reason after reason that Mr. Trump should not be the nominee, but never directly answered the question.

Trip Gabriel contributed reporting.

Correction: May 1, 2016
Because of an editing error, an earlier version of this article misstated how delegates are awarded in the Indiana Republican state primary. Its 57 delegates are awarded to the statewide winner and to the winner of each congressional district; they are not awarded entirely to the statewide winner.
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